Army
W-L: (15- 5) PR = 91.4543Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 A Rutgers Big Ten (11- 9, 90.9) 19-14 210 H Marist Metro Atlan ( 4-12, 77.5) 23- 7 214 A Northwestern Big Ten (19- 3, 96.9) 7-18 221 N Florida State ACC ( 4-12, 82.8) 13- 7 301 H Colorado Big 12 (16- 4, 93.9) 6-13 304 H Fairfield Metro Atlan (15- 4, 84.7) 15- 8 307 A Boston University Patriot ( 8-10, 84.5) 14-11 314 H Loyola (MD) Patriot (12- 8, 89.5) 18-10 321 A Bucknell Patriot (10- 7, 84.0) 16- 7 327 H Lafayette Patriot ( 5-10, 79.1) 22- 6 331 A Yale Ivy League (13- 5, 91.9) 12- 8 404 H American Patriot ( 4-12, 78.8) 20- 5 411 A Navy Patriot (20- 2, 93.0) 8-14 415 H Holy Cross Patriot ( 7-10, 83.6) 17- 6 418 H Lehigh Patriot ( 6-10, 80.4) 17-10 422 A Colgate Patriot ( 5-10, 81.3) 21- 6 430 N Loyola (MD) Patriot (12- 8, 89.5) 13-11 502 A Navy Patriot (20- 2, 93.0) 11-17 508 N Fairfield Metro Atlan (15- 4, 84.7) 20- 8 510 A Johns Hopkins Big Ten (17- 5, 94.2) 13-21
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 A Rutgers 19-14 5 -1 ++ 5.80
210 H Marist 23- 7 16 15 0.00
214 A Northwestern 7-18 -11 -7 -- -4.17
221 N Florida State 13- 7 6 9 - -2.70
301 H Colorado 6-13 -7 -1 -- -5.91
304 H Fairfield 15- 8 7 8 -1.14
307 A Boston University 14-11 3 6 - -2.54
314 H Loyola (MD) 18-10 8 3 ++ 4.71
321 A Bucknell 16- 7 9 6 + 2.94
327 H Lafayette 22- 6 16 14 0.27
331 A Yale 12- 8 4 -2 ++ 5.81
404 H American 20- 5 15 14 0.02
411 A Navy 8-14 -6 -3 - -3.06
415 H Holy Cross 17- 6 11 9 1.79
418 H Lehigh 17-10 7 12 -- -5.46
422 A Colgate 21- 6 15 9 ++ 5.26
430 N Loyola (MD) 13-11 2 2 0.08
502 A Navy 11-17 -6 -3 - -3.06
508 N Fairfield 20- 8 12 7 ++ 5.23
510 A Johns Hopkins 13-21 -8 -4 - -3.86
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 214 A Northwestern 7-18 -11 -7 -- -4.17 301 H Colorado 6-13 -7 -1 -- -5.91 418 H Lehigh 17-10 7 12 -- -5.46 221 N Florida State 13- 7 6 9 - -2.70 307 A Boston University 14-11 3 6 - -2.54 411 A Navy 8-14 -6 -3 - -3.06 502 A Navy 11-17 -6 -3 - -3.06 510 A Johns Hopkins 13-21 -8 -4 - -3.86 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 206 A Rutgers 19-14 5 -1 ++ 5.80 314 H Loyola (MD) 18-10 8 3 ++ 4.71 331 A Yale 12- 8 4 -2 ++ 5.81 422 A Colgate 21- 6 15 9 ++ 5.26 508 N Fairfield 20- 8 12 7 ++ 5.23 321 A Bucknell 16- 7 9 6 + 2.94 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.32
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Rutgers (11- 9, 90.9) 19-14 -9.02 31.15 1.37 0.87 56.33
0 H Marist ( 4-12, 77.5) 23- 7 -22.41 17.76 -1.37 0.87 28.39
0 A Northwestern (19- 3, 96.9) 7-18 -2.98 37.18 1.37 0.87 -0.70
0 N Florida State ( 4-12, 82.8) 13- 7 -17.14 23.02 -0.00 0.87 39.88
0 H Colorado (16- 4, 93.9) 6-13 -5.99 34.18 -1.37 0.87 -3.19
0 H Fairfield (15- 4, 84.7) 15- 8 -15.21 24.95 -1.37 0.87 40.86
0 A Boston Univers ( 8-10, 84.5) 14-11 -15.36 24.81 1.37 0.87 45.35
0 H Loyola (MD) (12- 8, 89.5) 18-10 -10.37 29.80 -1.37 0.87 49.26
0 A Bucknell (10- 7, 84.0) 16- 7 -15.88 24.29 1.37 0.87 44.45
0 H Lafayette ( 5-10, 79.1) 22- 6 -20.80 19.36 -1.37 0.87 31.17
0 A Yale (13- 5, 91.9) 12- 8 -8.00 32.17 1.37 0.87 58.09
0 H American ( 4-12, 78.8) 20- 5 -21.06 19.11 -1.37 0.87 30.73
0 A Navy (20- 2, 93.0) 8-14 -6.87 33.29 1.37 0.87 -2.38
0 H Holy Cross ( 7-10, 83.6) 17- 6 -16.29 23.88 -1.37 0.87 39.00
0 H Lehigh ( 6-10, 80.4) 17-10 -19.54 20.63 -1.37 0.87 33.37
0 A Colgate ( 5-10, 81.3) 21- 6 -18.56 21.61 1.37 0.87 39.81
0 N Loyola (MD) (12- 8, 89.5) 13-11 -10.37 29.80 -0.00 0.87 51.63
0 A Navy (20- 2, 93.0) 11-17 -6.87 33.29 1.37 0.87 -2.38
0 N Fairfield (15- 4, 84.7) 20- 8 -15.21 24.95 -0.00 0.87 43.23
0 A Johns Hopkins (17- 5, 94.2) 13-21 -5.68 34.49 1.37 0.87 -1.87
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621.02
|
winning pts = 631.5414 losing points = -10.5214
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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